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2/18/2011
US Trade Deficit with China

 

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US Trade Deficit with China

2/18/2010
 


This 10 story high Chinese cargo ship has a
270,000 square foot deck and can cross the Pacific in 4 days.

         The latest figures are in and they are staggering.

           The Census reports that the trade deficit with China has reached the unprecedented figure of $273 billion. This figure dwarfs the $40 to $50 billion dollar trade deficit the US had with Japan in the 1980's. It is the largest trade deficit that any country has ever had with another country. The average American spends nearly $400 per month on Chinese products.

            Our trade deficit with China was a meager $6 billion in 1989. That followed with a big scare about jobs going to Mexico due to cheap labor. Few predicted that China would take on that role and keep it for so long through communistic control of its currency value.

            What do I mean by communistic control? China is a communist country. Free countries in the same circumstance would have watched the value of its currency go up, and thereby stem the demand for its products due to the higher cost required to produce them. It's a simple law of supply and demand and is one of the natural checks and balances of a free market system. China, however, is a communist country playing in a free market system so they don't follow the same rules.

            One way that China keeps its currency value lower than the dollar is that whenever the Chinese yuan begins to rise in value against the dollar, China buys up U.S. Treasuries. This has been done so often, they are now the largest lender to the U.S. Government. As of November 2010, China owned 32% of all U.S. Treasuries, which amounts to $895 billion.

            This practice gives China a certain amount of power over the United States because as the old saying goes, "the borrower becomes the slave of the lender." At any time, China could choose to demand payment on the loans.

            With China working to keep their own currency value low against the dollar, U.S. businesses have to either use the Chinese to manufacture products, or face the real danger of being forced to go out of business. This translates to a loss of American jobs either way. Should we wonder why our unemployment rate is going up?

             Recently, the ridiculously massive Federal budget deficit of over $1.26 trillion has been in the news. This means that the U.S. Government is spending $1.26 trillion more money than it has to spend. The total amount of revenue coming into the Federal budge is $2.57 trillion, so about a third of its budget will use borrowed funds to finance its expenses.

             Will this trend continue? Currently, they are forecasting an annual deficit of $700 billion for the next 9 years. Of course, last year their forecast for the 2011 budget deficit was only $500 billion so don't expect the forecast to be as rosy as stated.

              So where does it get all this money that it doesn't have? From issuing Treasury bonds. China will be more than happy to buy them.

              It doesn't look like this trend is going to change anytime soon.

 

 
 
 

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